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k →Pranala luar: Persondata now moved to wikidata, removed: {{Persondata <!-- Metadata: see Wikipedia:Persondata. --> |NAME = Kahn, Herman |ALTERNATIVE NAMES = |SHORT DESCRIPTION = American futurist |DATE OF BIRTH = February 15
 
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{{Infobox person
{{Infobox person
| name = Herman Kahn
|name = Herman Kahn
| image = Interview with Herman Kahn, author of On Escalation, May 11, 1965.jpg
|image = Interview with Herman Kahn, author of On Escalation, May 11, 1965.jpg
| caption = Herman Kahn, 11 Mei 1965
|caption = Herman Kahn, 11 Mei 1965
| birth_date = 15 Februari 1922
|birth_date = 15 Februari 1922
| birth_place = [[Bayonne, New Jersey]], Amerika Serikat
|birth_place = [[Bayonne, New Jersey]], Amerika Serikat
| death_date = {{death date and age|1983|7|7|1922|2|15}}
|death_date = {{death date and age|1983|7|7|1922|2|15}}
| death_place = [[Chappaqua, New York]], Amerika Serikat
|death_place = [[Chappaqua, New York]], Amerika Serikat
| known_for = ''[[On Thermonuclear War]]''
|known_for = ''[[On Thermonuclear War]]''
| occupation = {{unbulleted list |[[Futuris]] |[[Strategi militer|Strategiwan militer]] |[[Teori sistem|Teoriwan sistem]]}}
|occupation = {{unbulleted list |[[Futuris]] |[[Strategi militer|Strategiwan militer]] |[[Teori sistem|Teoriwan sistem]]}}
| alma_mater = [[Universitas California, Los Angeles]] (B.S., Fisika)<br>[[Institut Teknologi California]] (M.S.)
|alma_mater = [[Universitas California, Los Angeles]] (B.S., Fisika)<br>[[Institut Teknologi California]] (M.S.)
}}
}}


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== Karya ==
== Karya ==
Di luar bidang fisika dan statistika, karya-karya Kahn meliputi:
Di luar bidang fisika dan statistika, karya-karya Kahn meliputi:
*1960. ''[[On Thermonuclear War]]''. Princeton University Press. ISBN 0-313-20060-2
* 1960. ''[[On Thermonuclear War]]''. Princeton University Press. ISBN 0-313-20060-2
*1962. '' Thinking about the unthinkable''. Horizon Press.
* 1962. '' Thinking about the unthinkable''. Horizon Press.
*1965 ''On escalation: metaphors and scenarios''. Praeger. [http://books.google.com/books?id=0No5uIPpD8AC&printsec=frontcover]
* 1965 ''On escalation: metaphors and scenarios''. Praeger. [http://books.google.com/books?id=0No5uIPpD8AC&printsec=frontcover]
*1967. ''The Year 2000: a framework for speculation on the next thirty-three years''. MacMillan. ISBN 0-02-560440-6. With Anthony Wiener.
* 1967. ''The Year 2000: a framework for speculation on the next thirty-three years''. MacMillan. ISBN 0-02-560440-6. With Anthony Wiener.
*1968 ''Can we win in Viet Nam?''. Praeger. Kahn with four other authors: Gastil, Raymond D.; Pfaff, William; Stillman, Edmund; Armbruster, Frank E.
* 1968 ''Can we win in Viet Nam?''. Praeger. Kahn with four other authors: Gastil, Raymond D.; Pfaff, William; Stillman, Edmund; Armbruster, Frank E.
*1970. ''The Emerging Japanese Superstate: challenge and response''. Prentice Hall. ISBN 0-13-274670-0
* 1970. ''The Emerging Japanese Superstate: challenge and response''. Prentice Hall. ISBN 0-13-274670-0
*1971. ''The Japanese challenge: The success and failure of economic success''. Morrow; Andre Deutsch. ISBN 0-688-08710-8
* 1971. ''The Japanese challenge: The success and failure of economic success''. Morrow; Andre Deutsch. ISBN 0-688-08710-8
*1972. ''Things to come: thinking about the seventies and eighties''. MacMillan. ISBN 0-02-560470-8. With B. Bruce-Briggs.
* 1972. ''Things to come: thinking about the seventies and eighties''. MacMillan. ISBN 0-02-560470-8. With B. Bruce-Briggs.
*1973. ''Herman Kahnsciousness: the megaton ideas of the one-man think tank''. New American Library. Selected and edited by Jerome Agel.
* 1973. ''Herman Kahnsciousness: the megaton ideas of the one-man think tank''. New American Library. Selected and edited by Jerome Agel.
*1974. ''The future of the corporation''. Mason & Lipscomb. ISBN 0-88405-009-2
* 1974. ''The future of the corporation''. Mason & Lipscomb. ISBN 0-88405-009-2
*1976. ''The next 200 Years: a scenario for America and the world''. Morrow. ISBN 0-688-08029-4
* 1976. ''The next 200 Years: a scenario for America and the world''. Morrow. ISBN 0-688-08029-4
*1979. ''World economic development: 1979 and beyond''. William Morrow; Croom Helm. ISBN 0-688-03479-9. With Hollender, Jeffrey, and Hollender, John A.
* 1979. ''World economic development: 1979 and beyond''. William Morrow; Croom Helm. ISBN 0-688-03479-9. With Hollender, Jeffrey, and Hollender, John A.
*1981. ''Will she be right? The future of Australia''. University of Queensland Press. ISBN 0-7022-1569-4. With Thomas Pepper.
* 1981. ''Will she be right? The future of Australia''. University of Queensland Press. ISBN 0-7022-1569-4. With Thomas Pepper.
*1983. ''The Coming Boom: economic, political, and social''. Simon & Schuster; Hutchinson. ISBN 0-671-49265-9
* 1983. ''The Coming Boom: economic, political, and social''. Simon & Schuster; Hutchinson. ISBN 0-671-49265-9
*1984 ''Thinking about the unthinkable in the 1980s''. New York: Simon and Schuster. ISBN 0-671-47544-4 [http://books.google.com/books?id=DVsaUFPUv4AC&printsec=frontcover]
* 1984 ''Thinking about the unthinkable in the 1980s''. New York: Simon and Schuster. ISBN 0-671-47544-4 [http://books.google.com/books?id=DVsaUFPUv4AC&printsec=frontcover]
*''The nature and feasibility of war, deterrence, and arms control'' (Central nuclear war monograph series), (Hudson Institute)
* ''The nature and feasibility of war, deterrence, and arms control'' (Central nuclear war monograph series), (Hudson Institute)
*''A slightly optimistic world context for 1975–2000'' (Hudson Institute. HI)
* ''A slightly optimistic world context for 1975–2000'' (Hudson Institute. HI)
*''Social limits to growth: "creeping stagnation" vs. "natural and inevitable"'' (HPS paper)
* ''Social limits to growth: "creeping stagnation" vs. "natural and inevitable"'' (HPS paper)
*''A new kind of class struggle in the United States?'' (Corporate Environment Program. Research memorandum)
* ''A new kind of class struggle in the United States?'' (Corporate Environment Program. Research memorandum)


Karya terbitan [[RAND Corporation]] yang melibatkan Kahn:
Karya terbitan [[RAND Corporation]] yang melibatkan Kahn:
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== Lihat pula ==
== Lihat pula ==

* [[Triad nuklir]]
* [[Triad nuklir]]


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== Bacaan lanjutan ==
== Bacaan lanjutan ==

*[[Barry Bruce-Briggs]], ''Supergenius: The mega-worlds of Herman Kahn'', North American Policy Press
*Sharon Ghamari-Tabrizi, ''[http://books.google.com/books?id=Ri5ho6_xorAC&printsec=frontcover The Worlds of Herman Kahn: The Intuitive Science of Thermonuclear War]'', Harvard University Press, ISBN 0-674-01714-5 [reviewed by Christopher Coker in the ''Times Literary Supplement''], nº 5332, 10 June 2005, p.&nbsp;19.
* [[Barry Bruce-Briggs]], ''Supergenius: The mega-worlds of Herman Kahn'', North American Policy Press
* Sharon Ghamari-Tabrizi, ''[http://books.google.com/books?id=Ri5ho6_xorAC&printsec=frontcover The Worlds of Herman Kahn: The Intuitive Science of Thermonuclear War]'', Harvard University Press, ISBN 0-674-01714-5 [reviewed by Christopher Coker in the ''Times Literary Supplement''], nº 5332, 10 June 2005, p.&nbsp;19.
*[[Fred Kaplan (journalist)|Fred Kaplan]], ''The Wizards of Armageddon'', Stanford Nuclear Age Series, ISBN 0-8047-1884-9
* [[Fred Kaplan (journalist)|Fred Kaplan]], ''The Wizards of Armageddon'', Stanford Nuclear Age Series, ISBN 0-8047-1884-9
*Kate Lenkowsky, ''The Herman Kahn Center of the Hudson Institute'', Hudson Institute
* Kate Lenkowsky, ''The Herman Kahn Center of the Hudson Institute'', Hudson Institute
*Susan Lindee, "Science as Comic Metaphysics", ''Science'' 309: 383–4, 2005.
* Susan Lindee, "Science as Comic Metaphysics", ''Science'' 309: 383–4, 2005.
*Herbert I. London, forward by Herman Kahn, ''Why Are They Lying to Our Children'' (Against the doomsayer futurists), ISBN 0-9673514-2-1
* Herbert I. London, forward by Herman Kahn, ''Why Are They Lying to Our Children'' (Against the doomsayer futurists), ISBN 0-9673514-2-1
*[[Louis Menand]], " [http://www.newyorker.com/critics/content/articles/050627crbo_books Fat Man]: Herman Kahn and the Nuclear Age", ''The New Yorker'', June 27, 2005.
* [[Louis Menand]], " [http://www.newyorker.com/critics/content/articles/050627crbo_books Fat Man]: Herman Kahn and the Nuclear Age", ''The New Yorker'', June 27, 2005.
*Claus Pias, "Hermann Kahn – Szenarien für den Kalten Krieg", Zurich: Diaphanes 2009, ISBN 978-3-935300-90-2
* Claus Pias, "Hermann Kahn – Szenarien für den Kalten Krieg", Zurich: Diaphanes 2009, ISBN 978-3-935300-90-2


== Pranala luar ==
== Pranala luar ==

*[http://www.alteich.com/links/kahn.htm Essays about and by Herman Kahn]
* [http://www.alteich.com/links/kahn.htm Essays about and by Herman Kahn] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20021214094104/http://www.alteich.com/links/kahn.htm |date=2002-12-14 }}
*{{Wayback |date=20011023022548 |url=http://texaschapbookpress.com/magellanslog41/escalation.htm |title=Kahn's "escalation ladder"}}
* {{Wayback |date=20011023022548 |url=http://texaschapbookpress.com/magellanslog41/escalation.htm |title=Kahn's "escalation ladder"}}
*[http://trace.ntu.ac.uk/frame2/articles/borg/kahn.html "Herman Kahn's Doomsday Machine"] by Andrew Yale Glikman, in [http://tracearchive.ntu.ac.uk/frame2/glikman.htm "CYB + ORG = (COLD) WAR MACHINE", FrAme], 26 September 1999.
* [http://trace.ntu.ac.uk/frame2/articles/borg/kahn.html "Herman Kahn's Doomsday Machine"] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20040902085658/http://trace.ntu.ac.uk/frame2/articles/borg/kahn.html |date=2004-09-02 }} by Andrew Yale Glikman, in [http://tracearchive.ntu.ac.uk/frame2/glikman.htm "CYB + ORG = (COLD) WAR MACHINE", FrAme] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110408023244/http://tracearchive.ntu.ac.uk/frame2/glikman.htm |date=2011-04-08 }}, 26 September 1999.
*[http://www.rand.org/pubs/authors/k/kahn_herman.html RAND Corporation unclassified papers by Herman Kahn, 1948–59]
*[http://www.hudson.org/learn/index.cfm?fuseaction=staff_bio&eid=HermanKahn Hudson Institute unclassified articles and papers by Herman Kahn, 1962–84]
* [http://www.rand.org/pubs/authors/k/kahn_herman.html RAND Corporation unclassified papers by Herman Kahn, 1948–59]
* [http://www.hudson.org/learn/index.cfm?fuseaction=staff_bio&eid=HermanKahn Hudson Institute unclassified articles and papers by Herman Kahn, 1962–84] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060506181905/http://www.hudson.org/learn/index.cfm?fuseaction=staff_bio&eid=HermanKahn |date=2006-05-06 }}


{{Authority control}}
{{Authority control}}


{{Persondata <!-- Metadata: see [[Wikipedia:Persondata]]. -->
| NAME = Kahn, Herman
| ALTERNATIVE NAMES =
| SHORT DESCRIPTION = American futurist
| DATE OF BIRTH = February 15, 1922
| PLACE OF BIRTH = [[Bayonne, New Jersey]]
| DATE OF DEATH = July 7, 1983
| PLACE OF DEATH = [[Chappaqua, New York]]
}}
{{DEFAULTSORT:Kahn, Herman}}
{{DEFAULTSORT:Kahn, Herman}}
[[Category:Kelahiran 1922]]
[[Kategori:Kelahiran 1922]]
[[Category:Kematian 1983]]
[[Kategori:Kematian 1983]]
[[Category:Ateis Amerika Serikat]]
[[Kategori:Ateis Amerika Serikat]]
[[Category:Yahudi Amerika Serikat]]
[[Kategori:Yahudi-Amerika]]
[[Category:Ateis Yahudi]]
[[Kategori:Ateis Yahudi]]
[[Category:Alumni Institut Teknologi California]]
[[Kategori:Alumni Institut Teknologi California]]
[[Category:Futurolog]]
[[Kategori:Futurolog]]
[[Category:Tokoh dari Bayonne, New Jersey]]
[[Kategori:Tokoh dari Bayonne, New Jersey]]
[[Category:Realis politik]]
[[Kategori:Realis politik]]
[[Category:Ilmuwan sistem Amerika Serikat]]
[[Kategori:Ilmuwan sistem Amerika Serikat]]
[[Category:Tokoh RAND Corporation]]
[[Kategori:Tokoh RAND Corporation]]
[[Category:Strategiwan nuklir]]
[[Kategori:Strategiwan nuklir]]

Revisi terkini sejak 24 Juni 2024 16.54

Herman Kahn
Herman Kahn, 11 Mei 1965
Lahir15 Februari 1922
Bayonne, New Jersey, Amerika Serikat
Meninggal7 Juli 1983(1983-07-07) (umur 61)
Chappaqua, New York, Amerika Serikat
AlmamaterUniversitas California, Los Angeles (B.S., Fisika)
Institut Teknologi California (M.S.)
Pekerjaan
Dikenal atasOn Thermonuclear War
Find a Grave: 18021174 Modifica els identificadors a Wikidata

Herman Kahn (15 Februari 1922 – 7 Juli 1983) adalah pendiri Hudson Institute dan salah satu futuris ternama pada akhir abad ke-20. Ia awalnya dikenal sebagai strategiwan militer dan teoriwan sistem saat masih bekerja di RAND Corporation. Ia kemudian dikenal karena menganalisis potensi dampak perang nuklir dan menyarankan berbagai cara untuk meningkatkan kemungkinan selamat. Berkat analisis tersebut, Kahn menjadi satu dari tiga inspirasi bagi tokoh utama film satir komedi hitam Dr. Strangelove besutan Stanley Kubrick.[1]

Teori-teorinya sangat memengaruhi perkembangan strategi nuklir Amerika Serikat.

Karya

[sunting | sunting sumber]

Di luar bidang fisika dan statistika, karya-karya Kahn meliputi:

  • 1960. On Thermonuclear War. Princeton University Press. ISBN 0-313-20060-2
  • 1962. Thinking about the unthinkable. Horizon Press.
  • 1965 On escalation: metaphors and scenarios. Praeger. [1]
  • 1967. The Year 2000: a framework for speculation on the next thirty-three years. MacMillan. ISBN 0-02-560440-6. With Anthony Wiener.
  • 1968 Can we win in Viet Nam?. Praeger. Kahn with four other authors: Gastil, Raymond D.; Pfaff, William; Stillman, Edmund; Armbruster, Frank E.
  • 1970. The Emerging Japanese Superstate: challenge and response. Prentice Hall. ISBN 0-13-274670-0
  • 1971. The Japanese challenge: The success and failure of economic success. Morrow; Andre Deutsch. ISBN 0-688-08710-8
  • 1972. Things to come: thinking about the seventies and eighties. MacMillan. ISBN 0-02-560470-8. With B. Bruce-Briggs.
  • 1973. Herman Kahnsciousness: the megaton ideas of the one-man think tank. New American Library. Selected and edited by Jerome Agel.
  • 1974. The future of the corporation. Mason & Lipscomb. ISBN 0-88405-009-2
  • 1976. The next 200 Years: a scenario for America and the world. Morrow. ISBN 0-688-08029-4
  • 1979. World economic development: 1979 and beyond. William Morrow; Croom Helm. ISBN 0-688-03479-9. With Hollender, Jeffrey, and Hollender, John A.
  • 1981. Will she be right? The future of Australia. University of Queensland Press. ISBN 0-7022-1569-4. With Thomas Pepper.
  • 1983. The Coming Boom: economic, political, and social. Simon & Schuster; Hutchinson. ISBN 0-671-49265-9
  • 1984 Thinking about the unthinkable in the 1980s. New York: Simon and Schuster. ISBN 0-671-47544-4 [2]
  • The nature and feasibility of war, deterrence, and arms control (Central nuclear war monograph series), (Hudson Institute)
  • A slightly optimistic world context for 1975–2000 (Hudson Institute. HI)
  • Social limits to growth: "creeping stagnation" vs. "natural and inevitable" (HPS paper)
  • A new kind of class struggle in the United States? (Corporate Environment Program. Research memorandum)

Karya terbitan RAND Corporation yang melibatkan Kahn:

Lihat pula

[sunting | sunting sumber]

Catatan kaki

[sunting | sunting sumber]
  1. ^ Paul Boyer, 'Dr. Strangelove' in Mark C. Carnes (ed.), Past Imperfect: History According to the Movies, New York, 1996.

Bacaan lanjutan

[sunting | sunting sumber]

Pranala luar

[sunting | sunting sumber]
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